KnowETAll
Active member
Alright, so I was running some numbers last night after a few spins on European roulette (yes, post-game overanalyzing is my thing 
). Had this idea for a progressive betting strategy on 1-12, doubling every loss, and resetting after a win. Given a $3 minimum bet and a $1,000 table max, you’d hit the ceiling by your ninth loss. The probability of winning in those first eight spins? About 95.2%. Sounds like a dream, right?
But here’s where the house edge creeps in. Even though your expected loss per round is low, you’ll eventually hit that losing streak. A brutal 9+ loss streak is rare but not impossible—meaning at some point, you will max out and tank your bankroll in a single session.
By the time you hit the ninth spin, you're already in for $1,533 in bets. Win there, and you clear $3K—great. But if you lose? That next bet pushes you into dangerous territory, where you can’t double anymore, and you’re now at the mercy of straight luck.
I’ve seen players run this strategy at live tables, and it looks foolproof… until that one unlucky session wipes them out.
Anyone here tried a version of this and actually made it work long-term? Or is this just another one of those "works until it doesn’t" strategies?
). Had this idea for a progressive betting strategy on 1-12, doubling every loss, and resetting after a win. Given a $3 minimum bet and a $1,000 table max, you’d hit the ceiling by your ninth loss. The probability of winning in those first eight spins? About 95.2%. Sounds like a dream, right?But here’s where the house edge creeps in. Even though your expected loss per round is low, you’ll eventually hit that losing streak. A brutal 9+ loss streak is rare but not impossible—meaning at some point, you will max out and tank your bankroll in a single session.
By the time you hit the ninth spin, you're already in for $1,533 in bets. Win there, and you clear $3K—great. But if you lose? That next bet pushes you into dangerous territory, where you can’t double anymore, and you’re now at the mercy of straight luck.
I’ve seen players run this strategy at live tables, and it looks foolproof… until that one unlucky session wipes them out.
Anyone here tried a version of this and actually made it work long-term? Or is this just another one of those "works until it doesn’t" strategies?