nyguy
Member
Arch Madness is here, and I’m looking at the Missouri Valley Tournament odds to see where the best value is. Drake is sitting as the clear favorite with over 50% implied probability to win the tourney, but the big question is: Do you fade Drake or ride the wave?
I’m taking Northern Iowa +650 as my longshot pick. But if you don’t want to lock in a futures bet, consider a Moneyline (ML) rollover strategy:
Northern Iowa to win outright vs. UIC
Bradley vs. Drake total points UNDER (pace will be slow)
Live betting opportunities if UNI gets down early—comebacks have been common in MVC play
Who else is betting on Missouri Valley Tournament odds this weekend? Any sleeper picks? Let’s hear your March Madness predictions!
Teams to Watch & Betting Predictions
- Drake (- odds vary by book): The Bulldogs are dominant, but do they really need to go all out here? They might get an at-large bid regardless, meaning there’s a chance they don’t push as hard in the final rounds.
- Northern Iowa (+650 to win MVC Tournament): This is where I see real betting value. UNI has been rolling, winning 7 of their last 9 games, and they play a slow, grinding style that can frustrate teams like Drake. Plus, their inside scoring is elite, and they’ve already had some close calls with the Bulldogs this season.
- Bradley (+800 to win MVC Tournament): They’ve had a little luck variance, going 9-1 in tight games, which makes me a bit skeptical. Their three-point defense has been great, but can they sustain it under pressure?
Best Betting Approach
I’m taking Northern Iowa +650 as my longshot pick. But if you don’t want to lock in a futures bet, consider a Moneyline (ML) rollover strategy:
- Bet UNI’s ML in the quarterfinals vs. UIC.
- Roll over the winnings to the semifinals vs. Bradley (assuming Bradley advances).
- If they make it to the final vs. Drake, roll over again.
Other Bets for This Weekend
Northern Iowa to win outright vs. UIC Bradley vs. Drake total points UNDER (pace will be slow) Live betting opportunities if UNI gets down early—comebacks have been common in MVC playFinal Thoughts
I wouldn’t blindly bet Drake at their current price—there’s no value. If you’re looking for an underdog with real potential, UNI has the weapons to pull off an upset and grab that NCAA Tournament bid.Who else is betting on Missouri Valley Tournament odds this weekend? Any sleeper picks? Let’s hear your March Madness predictions!