Hey everyone,
I've been diving into the numbers for this weekend’s Premier League games, trying to find some +EV bets worth a punt. If you’re like me, you hate betting blindly and prefer squeezing the most value out of the bookies. So, I did a bit of research, and here’s what’s on the table.
But comparing odds isn’t enough. I also like using BetBurger for their surebet & value bet alerts—helpful when you want to get an edge. If you haven’t tried it yet, definitely worth a look. (betburger.com)
Manchester City vs. Brighton – I spotted City at 1.80 odds on NetBet, but based on form and xG (expected goals), I think they should be closer to 1.65. That means there’s some value there. Brighton have struggled away from home, and if De Bruyne is fit, this could be a comfortable City win.
At the end of the day, +EV betting is about playing the long game. Curious to hear what you guys are looking at for this weekend—any hidden gems?
I've been diving into the numbers for this weekend’s Premier League games, trying to find some +EV bets worth a punt. If you’re like me, you hate betting blindly and prefer squeezing the most value out of the bookies. So, I did a bit of research, and here’s what’s on the table.
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Match | Time (PDT) |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | West Ham United @ Everton FC | 08:00 AM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Nottingham Forest @ Ipswich Town | 08:00 AM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion @ Manchester City | 08:00 AM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers @ Southampton FC | 08:00 AM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Brentford FC @ AFC Bournemouth | 10:30 AM |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Chelsea FC @ Arsenal FC | 06:30 AM |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur @ Fulham FC | 06:30 AM |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Manchester United @ Leicester City | 12:00 PM |
How I Spot +EV Bets
So, I usually start by checking odds across different sites. NetBet and Luckland are two of my go-to bookies since they tend to have slightly better lines than some of the big-name shops. OddsChecker is a lifesaver when it comes to comparing odds across multiple UK-friendly books.But comparing odds isn’t enough. I also like using BetBurger for their surebet & value bet alerts—helpful when you want to get an edge. If you haven’t tried it yet, definitely worth a look. (betburger.com)
One Bet That Stood Out
Manchester City vs. Brighton – I spotted City at 1.80 odds on NetBet, but based on form and xG (expected goals), I think they should be closer to 1.65. That means there’s some value there. Brighton have struggled away from home, and if De Bruyne is fit, this could be a comfortable City win.At the end of the day, +EV betting is about playing the long game. Curious to hear what you guys are looking at for this weekend—any hidden gems?