StatisticalEdge
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UFC 313 is set for March 8, 2025, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and the main event between Alex Pereira and Magomed Ankalaev is one of the most compelling matchups we’ve seen in the light heavyweight division in years. This is a true striker vs. grappler battle, with massive stakes on the line.
Pereira’s Path to Victory: The reigning champ, Pereira, has been a force since moving to MMA. His striking is on another level, and his knockout power is a game-changer. If he keeps this fight standing, Ankalaev could be in for a short night. The key for Pereira will be maintaining range with his kicks and punishing Ankalaev when he enters the pocket. If he wins, it will mark his fourth title defense in a year, surpassing Jon Jones’s legendary record from 2012.
Ankalaev’s Game Plan: Ankalaev is on a 13-fight unbeaten streak for a reason—his well-rounded skills make him a nightmare matchup. While he has solid striking, it’s his wrestling that could change everything. If he gets Pereira to the mat, he has the ability to grind out rounds and wear the champion down. Ankalaev has hinted that he’s willing to go all five rounds if needed, making him a strong pick for a decision win.
Betting Considerations for UFC 313:
Personally, I’m leaning toward Pereira by KO/TKO, but I’ll hedge with an Ankalaev decision bet because the odds are so close. UFC 313 is looking like a must-watch event, and this main event could go down as one of the best title fights of the year. What’s everyone else betting on?
Pereira’s Path to Victory: The reigning champ, Pereira, has been a force since moving to MMA. His striking is on another level, and his knockout power is a game-changer. If he keeps this fight standing, Ankalaev could be in for a short night. The key for Pereira will be maintaining range with his kicks and punishing Ankalaev when he enters the pocket. If he wins, it will mark his fourth title defense in a year, surpassing Jon Jones’s legendary record from 2012.
Ankalaev’s Game Plan: Ankalaev is on a 13-fight unbeaten streak for a reason—his well-rounded skills make him a nightmare matchup. While he has solid striking, it’s his wrestling that could change everything. If he gets Pereira to the mat, he has the ability to grind out rounds and wear the champion down. Ankalaev has hinted that he’s willing to go all five rounds if needed, making him a strong pick for a decision win.
Betting Considerations for UFC 313:
- Fight to go the distance (+EV play) – Both guys have solid chins and may respect each other's power enough to avoid risky exchanges.
- Pereira by KO/TKO – If he keeps it standing, this is the most likely outcome. His accuracy and power can end things quickly.
- Ankalaev by Decision – If he leans heavily on his wrestling, he could neutralize Pereira’s striking and ride out a win.
Personally, I’m leaning toward Pereira by KO/TKO, but I’ll hedge with an Ankalaev decision bet because the odds are so close. UFC 313 is looking like a must-watch event, and this main event could go down as one of the best title fights of the year. What’s everyone else betting on?