nyguy
Member
Alright, golf bettors, let’s break down the Texas Children's Houston Open 2025 because there's some real value to be found if you look past the obvious favorite.
So, Scottie Scheffler is the clear frontrunner with odds of +330. Makes sense, right? He’s been consistently crushing it at Memorial Park Golf Course, finishing T-2 twice in the last three years and T-9 the other time. Plus, his overall performance has been strong this season, including a T-3 at The Genesis Invitational. The guy averages 2.18 true strokes gained per round at Memorial Park, so betting on him feels safe but not exactly profitable at those odds.
But here's the thing: Scheffler’s odds at +330 only give him a 23.26% chance of winning. The payout just doesn’t feel worth it when you consider all the competition. You’d need to throw down a big bet to make anything decent back, and frankly, that’s not my style.
Now, let’s talk Tony Finau. The dude’s a past winner here (2022) and even finished T-2 last year. His odds are sitting at +3500, which gives him a 2.78% implied win probability. But that’s not accounting for his history at Memorial Park, which clearly suits his game. Plus, his best finish this season was a T-5 at The Genesis Invitational Signature Event, which shows he’s not completely out of form.
If you’re looking for a value play, Finau at +3500 is a steal. Bet $10, and you’re looking at a potential $350 profit. For me, that’s way better than throwing a big stack on Scheffler just because he’s the name everyone’s hyped about.
Also, let's not ignore Rory McIlroy. He’s at +650 and making his debut at Memorial Park after winning The Players Championship. Rory’s clearly in great form, but the lack of course history here makes me a little nervous about backing him.
If you ask me, I’m putting my money on Finau for the higher payout. But I wouldn’t mind throwing a smaller bet on Rory just for the fun of it. Anyone else riding the Finau train with me, or are you all sticking to the safe bet with Scheffler?
Also, if you guys are hitting up Betus, Bovada, or something else for your bets, drop your thoughts and predictions. Would love to compare notes before the tournament kicks off.
So, Scottie Scheffler is the clear frontrunner with odds of +330. Makes sense, right? He’s been consistently crushing it at Memorial Park Golf Course, finishing T-2 twice in the last three years and T-9 the other time. Plus, his overall performance has been strong this season, including a T-3 at The Genesis Invitational. The guy averages 2.18 true strokes gained per round at Memorial Park, so betting on him feels safe but not exactly profitable at those odds.
But here's the thing: Scheffler’s odds at +330 only give him a 23.26% chance of winning. The payout just doesn’t feel worth it when you consider all the competition. You’d need to throw down a big bet to make anything decent back, and frankly, that’s not my style.
Now, let’s talk Tony Finau. The dude’s a past winner here (2022) and even finished T-2 last year. His odds are sitting at +3500, which gives him a 2.78% implied win probability. But that’s not accounting for his history at Memorial Park, which clearly suits his game. Plus, his best finish this season was a T-5 at The Genesis Invitational Signature Event, which shows he’s not completely out of form.
If you’re looking for a value play, Finau at +3500 is a steal. Bet $10, and you’re looking at a potential $350 profit. For me, that’s way better than throwing a big stack on Scheffler just because he’s the name everyone’s hyped about.
Also, let's not ignore Rory McIlroy. He’s at +650 and making his debut at Memorial Park after winning The Players Championship. Rory’s clearly in great form, but the lack of course history here makes me a little nervous about backing him.
If you ask me, I’m putting my money on Finau for the higher payout. But I wouldn’t mind throwing a smaller bet on Rory just for the fun of it. Anyone else riding the Finau train with me, or are you all sticking to the safe bet with Scheffler?
Also, if you guys are hitting up Betus, Bovada, or something else for your bets, drop your thoughts and predictions. Would love to compare notes before the tournament kicks off.