AFL betting: Trusting instincts or stats?

Sports betting is like surfing—sometimes you gotta trust your instincts, and sometimes you need to read the conditions before you paddle out. I’ve been placing bets on AFL for years, mostly on the Gold Coast Suns (yeah, I know, rough pick some seasons), but I always wonder—should I go with my gut or stick to the stats?

There was this one time last year when I ignored all the analysis and backed the Suns against the Dockers just because I had a "feeling." Everyone said it was a dumb bet. Turns out, they pulled off one of their best performances of the season, and I scored a solid win. But other times? That "gut feeling" has left me wiped out like a bad set rolling in at Snapper Rocks.

So, fellow bettors—do you rely more on stats, or do you sometimes just go with what feels right? And if you do use stats, what’s your go-to approach for AFL betting?
 
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